diff --git a/services/telegram-bot/nowcast_120m_alert.py b/services/telegram-bot/nowcast_120m_alert.py
new file mode 100644
index 0000000..fe709f6
--- /dev/null
+++ b/services/telegram-bot/nowcast_120m_alert.py
@@ -0,0 +1,379 @@
+#!/usr/bin/env python3
+# -*- coding: utf-8 -*-
+
+import datetime
+import json
+import logging
+import os
+import time
+from logging.handlers import RotatingFileHandler
+from typing import Dict, List, Optional, Tuple
+from zoneinfo import ZoneInfo
+
+import requests
+from dateutil import parser
+
+# =========================
+# CONFIG
+# =========================
+DEBUG = os.environ.get("DEBUG", "0").strip() == "1"
+
+BASE_DIR = os.path.dirname(os.path.abspath(__file__))
+LOG_FILE = os.path.join(BASE_DIR, "nowcast_120m_alert.log")
+STATE_FILE = os.path.join(BASE_DIR, "nowcast_120m_state.json")
+
+TZ = "Europe/Rome"
+TZINFO = ZoneInfo(TZ)
+
+# Casa (San Marino)
+LAT = 43.9356
+LON = 12.4296
+LOCATION_NAME = "🏠 Casa (Strada Cà Toro)"
+
+# Telegram (multi-chat)
+TELEGRAM_CHAT_IDS = ["64463169", "24827341", "132455422", "5405962012"]
+TOKEN_FILE_ETC = "/etc/telegram_dpc_bot_token"
+TOKEN_FILE_HOME = os.path.expanduser("~/.telegram_dpc_bot_token")
+
+# Open-Meteo
+OPEN_METEO_URL = "https://api.open-meteo.com/v1/forecast"
+MODEL = "meteofrance_arome_france_hd"
+
+# Finestra di valutazione
+WINDOW_MINUTES = 120
+
+# Soglie / “conferma”
+# Pioggia intensa: coerente con 25mm/3h ≈ 8.3 mm/h -> soglia 8.0 mm/h
+RAIN_INTENSE_MM_H = 8.0
+RAIN_CONFIRM_HOURS = 2  # "confermato": almeno 2 ore consecutive
+
+# Vento forte: raffiche >= 62 km/h (giallo PC ER)
+WIND_GUST_STRONG_KMH = 62.0
+WIND_CONFIRM_HOURS = 2  # almeno 2 ore consecutive
+
+# Neve: accumulo nelle prossime 2 ore >= 2 cm
+SNOW_ACCUM_2H_CM = 2.0
+
+# Anti-spam: minimo intervallo tra invii uguali (in minuti)
+MIN_RESEND_MINUTES = 180
+
+
+def setup_logger() -> logging.Logger:
+    logger = logging.getLogger("nowcast_120m_alert")
+    logger.setLevel(logging.DEBUG if DEBUG else logging.INFO)
+    logger.handlers.clear()
+
+    fh = RotatingFileHandler(LOG_FILE, maxBytes=1_000_000, backupCount=5, encoding="utf-8")
+    fh.setLevel(logging.DEBUG)
+    fmt = logging.Formatter("%(asctime)s %(levelname)s %(message)s")
+    fh.setFormatter(fmt)
+    logger.addHandler(fh)
+
+    if DEBUG:
+        sh = logging.StreamHandler()
+        sh.setLevel(logging.DEBUG)
+        sh.setFormatter(fmt)
+        logger.addHandler(sh)
+
+    return logger
+
+
+LOGGER = setup_logger()
+
+
+def now_local() -> datetime.datetime:
+    return datetime.datetime.now(TZINFO)
+
+
+def read_text(path: str) -> str:
+    try:
+        with open(path, "r", encoding="utf-8") as f:
+            return f.read().strip()
+    except Exception:
+        return ""
+
+
+def load_bot_token() -> str:
+    tok = (os.environ.get("TELEGRAM_BOT_TOKEN") or "").strip()
+    if tok:
+        return tok
+    tok = (os.environ.get("BOT_TOKEN") or "").strip()
+    if tok:
+        return tok
+    tok = read_text(TOKEN_FILE_HOME)
+    if tok:
+        return tok
+    tok = read_text(TOKEN_FILE_ETC)
+    return tok.strip() if tok else ""
+
+
+def telegram_send_markdown(message: str) -> bool:
+    """
+    Invia SOLO se message presente. Errori solo su log.
+    """
+    if not message:
+        return False
+
+    token = load_bot_token()
+    if not token:
+        LOGGER.error("Token Telegram mancante. Messaggio NON inviato.")
+        return False
+
+    url = f"https://api.telegram.org/bot{token}/sendMessage"
+    payload_base = {
+        "text": message,
+        "parse_mode": "Markdown",
+        "disable_web_page_preview": True,
+    }
+
+    ok_any = False
+    with requests.Session() as s:
+        for chat_id in TELEGRAM_CHAT_IDS:
+            payload = dict(payload_base)
+            payload["chat_id"] = chat_id
+            try:
+                r = s.post(url, json=payload, timeout=20)
+                if r.status_code == 200:
+                    ok_any = True
+                else:
+                    LOGGER.error("Telegram HTTP %s chat_id=%s body=%s", r.status_code, chat_id, r.text[:300])
+                time.sleep(0.25)
+            except Exception as e:
+                LOGGER.exception("Errore invio Telegram chat_id=%s: %s", chat_id, e)
+
+    return ok_any
+
+
+def parse_time_local(t: str) -> datetime.datetime:
+    dt = parser.isoparse(t)
+    if dt.tzinfo is None:
+        return dt.replace(tzinfo=TZINFO)
+    return dt.astimezone(TZINFO)
+
+
+def get_forecast() -> Optional[Dict]:
+    params = {
+        "latitude": LAT,
+        "longitude": LON,
+        "timezone": TZ,
+        "forecast_days": 2,
+        "models": MODEL,
+        "wind_speed_unit": "kmh",
+        "precipitation_unit": "mm",
+        "hourly": ",".join([
+            "precipitation",
+            "windspeed_10m",
+            "windgusts_10m",
+            "snowfall",
+        ]),
+    }
+    try:
+        r = requests.get(OPEN_METEO_URL, params=params, timeout=25)
+        if r.status_code == 400:
+            try:
+                j = r.json()
+                LOGGER.error("Open-Meteo 400: %s", j.get("reason", j))
+            except Exception:
+                LOGGER.error("Open-Meteo 400: %s", r.text[:300])
+            return None
+        r.raise_for_status()
+        return r.json()
+    except Exception as e:
+        LOGGER.exception("Errore chiamata Open-Meteo: %s", e)
+        return None
+
+
+def load_state() -> Dict:
+    if os.path.exists(STATE_FILE):
+        try:
+            with open(STATE_FILE, "r", encoding="utf-8") as f:
+                return json.load(f) or {}
+        except Exception:
+            return {}
+    return {}
+
+
+def save_state(state: Dict) -> None:
+    try:
+        with open(STATE_FILE, "w", encoding="utf-8") as f:
+            json.dump(state, f, ensure_ascii=False)
+    except Exception:
+        pass
+
+
+def find_confirmed_start(
+    times: List[str],
+    cond: List[bool],
+    confirm_hours: int,
+    window_start: datetime.datetime,
+    window_end: datetime.datetime
+) -> Optional[int]:
+    """
+    Trova il primo indice i tale che:
+    - time[i] è dentro (window_start, window_end]
+    - cond[i..i+confirm_hours-1] tutte True
+    """
+    n = len(times)
+    for i in range(n):
+        try:
+            dt = parse_time_local(times[i])
+        except Exception:
+            continue
+        if dt < window_start or dt > window_end:
+            continue
+        if i + confirm_hours - 1 >= n:
+            continue
+        ok = True
+        for k in range(confirm_hours):
+            if not cond[i + k]:
+                ok = False
+                break
+        if ok:
+            return i
+    return None
+
+
+def main() -> None:
+    LOGGER.info("--- Nowcast 120m alert ---")
+
+    data = get_forecast()
+    if not data:
+        return
+
+    hourly = data.get("hourly", {}) or {}
+    times = hourly.get("time", []) or []
+    precip = hourly.get("precipitation", []) or []
+    gust = hourly.get("windgusts_10m", []) or []
+    snow = hourly.get("snowfall", []) or []
+
+    if not times:
+        LOGGER.error("Open-Meteo: hourly.time mancante/vuoto")
+        return
+
+    now = now_local()
+    window_end = now + datetime.timedelta(minutes=WINDOW_MINUTES)
+
+    # Normalizza array a lunghezza times
+    n = len(times)
+    def val(arr, i, cast=float) -> float:
+        try:
+            v = arr[i]
+            return cast(v) if v is not None else 0.0
+        except Exception:
+            return 0.0
+
+    rain_cond = [(val(precip, i) >= RAIN_INTENSE_MM_H) for i in range(n)]
+    wind_cond = [(val(gust, i) >= WIND_GUST_STRONG_KMH) for i in range(n)]
+
+    # Per neve: accumulo su 2 ore consecutive (i e i+1) >= soglia
+    snow2_cond = []
+    for i in range(n):
+        if i + 1 < n:
+            snow2 = val(snow, i) + val(snow, i + 1)
+            snow2_cond.append(snow2 >= SNOW_ACCUM_2H_CM)
+        else:
+            snow2_cond.append(False)
+
+    rain_i = find_confirmed_start(times, rain_cond, RAIN_CONFIRM_HOURS, now, window_end)
+    wind_i = find_confirmed_start(times, wind_cond, WIND_CONFIRM_HOURS, now, window_end)
+    snow_i = find_confirmed_start(times, snow2_cond, 1, now, window_end)  # già condensa su 2h
+
+    if DEBUG:
+        LOGGER.debug("window now=%s end=%s model=%s", now.isoformat(timespec="minutes"), window_end.isoformat(timespec="minutes"), MODEL)
+        LOGGER.debug("rain_start=%s wind_start=%s snow_start=%s", rain_i, wind_i, snow_i)
+
+    alerts: List[str] = []
+    sig_parts: List[str] = []
+
+    # Pioggia intensa
+    if rain_i is not None:
+        start_dt = parse_time_local(times[rain_i])
+        # picco entro finestra
+        max_r = 0.0
+        for i in range(n):
+            dt = parse_time_local(times[i])
+            if dt < now or dt > window_end:
+                continue
+            max_r = max(max_r, val(precip, i))
+        alerts.append(
+            f"🌧️ *PIOGGIA INTENSA*\n"
+            f"Inizio confermato: `{start_dt.strftime('%H:%M')}` (≥ {RAIN_INTENSE_MM_H:.0f} mm/h per {RAIN_CONFIRM_HOURS}h)\n"
+            f"Picco stimato (entro {WINDOW_MINUTES}m): `{max_r:.1f} mm/h`"
+        )
+        sig_parts.append(f"RAIN@{start_dt.strftime('%Y%m%d%H%M')}/peak{max_r:.1f}")
+
+    # Vento forte (raffiche)
+    if wind_i is not None:
+        start_dt = parse_time_local(times[wind_i])
+        max_g = 0.0
+        for i in range(n):
+            dt = parse_time_local(times[i])
+            if dt < now or dt > window_end:
+                continue
+            max_g = max(max_g, val(gust, i))
+        alerts.append(
+            f"💨 *VENTO FORTE*\n"
+            f"Inizio confermato: `{start_dt.strftime('%H:%M')}` (raffiche ≥ {WIND_GUST_STRONG_KMH:.0f} km/h per {WIND_CONFIRM_HOURS}h)\n"
+            f"Raffica max stimata (entro {WINDOW_MINUTES}m): `{max_g:.0f} km/h`"
+        )
+        sig_parts.append(f"WIND@{start_dt.strftime('%Y%m%d%H%M')}/peak{max_g:.0f}")
+
+    # Neve (accumulo 2h)
+    if snow_i is not None:
+        start_dt = parse_time_local(times[snow_i])
+        snow2 = val(snow, snow_i) + val(snow, snow_i + 1)
+        alerts.append(
+            f"❄️ *NEVE*\n"
+            f"Inizio stimato: `{start_dt.strftime('%H:%M')}`\n"
+            f"Accumulo 2h stimato: `{snow2:.1f} cm` (soglia ≥ {SNOW_ACCUM_2H_CM:.1f} cm)"
+        )
+        sig_parts.append(f"SNOW@{start_dt.strftime('%Y%m%d%H%M')}/acc{snow2:.1f}")
+
+    if not alerts:
+        LOGGER.info("Nessuna allerta confermata entro %s minuti.", WINDOW_MINUTES)
+        return
+
+    signature = "|".join(sig_parts)
+
+    # Anti-spam
+    state = load_state()
+    last_sig = str(state.get("signature", ""))
+    last_sent = state.get("last_sent_utc", "")
+    last_sent_dt = None
+    if last_sent:
+        try:
+            last_sent_dt = datetime.datetime.fromisoformat(last_sent).astimezone(datetime.timezone.utc)
+        except Exception:
+            last_sent_dt = None
+
+    now_utc = datetime.datetime.now(datetime.timezone.utc)
+    too_soon = False
+    if last_sent_dt is not None:
+        delta_min = (now_utc - last_sent_dt).total_seconds() / 60.0
+        too_soon = delta_min < MIN_RESEND_MINUTES
+
+    if signature == last_sig and too_soon:
+        LOGGER.info("Allerta già inviata di recente (signature invariata).")
+        return
+
+    msg = (
+        f"⚠️ *ALLERTA METEO (entro {WINDOW_MINUTES} minuti)*\n"
+        f"📍 {LOCATION_NAME}\n"
+        f"🕒 Agg. `{now.strftime('%d/%m %H:%M')}`  (modello: `{MODEL}`)\n\n"
+        + "\n\n".join(alerts)
+        + "\n\n_Fonte: Open-Meteo (AROME HD 1.5km)_"
+    )
+
+    ok = telegram_send_markdown(msg)
+    if ok:
+        LOGGER.info("Notifica inviata.")
+        save_state({
+            "signature": signature,
+            "last_sent_utc": now_utc.isoformat(timespec="seconds"),
+        })
+    else:
+        LOGGER.error("Notifica NON inviata (token/telegram).")
+
+
+if __name__ == "__main__":
+    main()